NASA Raises Alarm Over ‘City-killer’ Asteroid 2024 YR4 With Lagos In Its Path
The odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth have surged, reaching a historic probability threshold that has raised concerns among scientists and global space agencies. According to NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid now has a 1 in 32 (3.1%) chance of impact, a sharp increase from earlier predictions. Initially discovered in December 2024, its impact probability was 1.2% (1 in 83) before doubling to[b] 2.3% on February 7[/b], then rising to 2.6% earlier this week , and now hitting its highest recorded figure. These odds make 2024 YR4 the most dangerous asteroid currently tracked, surpassing even the 2004 predictions for Apophis, which had a 2.7% chance of striking Earth before later calculations ruled it out. “This is a historic milestone,” said Richard Moissl, head of the European Space Agency’s (ESA) planetary defense office, though ESA estimates the probability slightly lower at 2.8%. Lagos at Ris...